Breaking: What the Buffalo Bills require to make the NFL playoffs in 2023

What the Buffalo Bills require to make the NFL playoffs in 2023

The Buffalo Bills have had a turbulent season, with ousted coaches, injuries, off-field incidents, and some terrible losses.

The Bills, on the other hand, are still standing. They are still alive despite all of the drama. After beating the Dallas Cowboys 31-10 in Week 15, the Bills now have a 63% probability of making the playoffs.

Buffalo has found form just in time, but their early-season difficulties have hampered them. The Bills are ninth in the AFC with an 8-6 record. Buffalo has also suffered defeats to the Jacksonville Jaguars, Cincinnati Bengals, and Denver Broncos. These teams have the advantage in head-to-head tiebreakers over Buffalo.

To make the playoffs, Buffalo will need the assistance of others. Fortunately for the Bills, assistance may be on the way. They trail the Miami Dolphins by only two games. The Dolphins have the toughest remaining schedule, according to Tankathon, with games against the Dallas Cowboys and Baltimore Ravens in the next two weeks.

The Bills’ strength of schedule ranking is 24th. Buffalo will visit the Dolphins in Week 18. If the Bills win their next two games and Miami lose one, that Week 18 matchup will decide the AFC East winner.

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 Things are spiraling for the Jaguars, who have dropped three in a row, have their top receiver on IR and will likely now have to play their cross-state rivals without Trevor Lawrence (concussion protocol). Minus Lawrence, C.J. Beathard will be making his first since 2021 as he tries to outduel Baker Mayfield, who is coming off a sensational game against the Packers in which he threw for 381 yards and four TDs … Both teams are among the bottom four when it comes to defending the pass, so the QB matchup gives the Bucs a big edge, especially with Chris Godwin coming off a 155-yard game in which he re-established himself as a complementary threat to Mike Evans … Previously maligned Bucs RB Rachaad White has rushed for more than 80 yards in four straight games … The Jags are 6-2 ATS but it’s difficult to imagine them covering here without Lawrence against a team coming off its best game of the season.

This line is a Christmas present from your favourite sportsbooks. As someone who would like them to draft as high as possible in April if they’re not going to make the playoffs, I regretfully tell you the Bears are much better than they were earlier in the season. The acquisition of Montez Sweat and return to health of key personnel in the secondary have boosted their pass defence while their run defence is No. 1 in the league. Justin Fields is maturing and developing strong chemistry with both D.J Moore and Cole Kmet, while only four teams have more rushing yards. Chicago would be riding a five-game winning streak now if not for late collapses against Detroit and Cleveland … The Cardinals can’t stop the run and generally have an abysmal defence. Their best offensive player is RB James Conner, but he won’t do a lot against the Bears’ ground-stoppers, while Kyler Murray is not his old self after knee surgery.

Did you know that underdogs are 7-0 SU over the past six weeks on Monday Night Football, including Week 14, when there were two games? According to ESPN Stats & Info, that’s the longest streak of underdogs winning outright in MNF history. It’s also another reason to want to back Baltimore in what is a potential Super Bowl preview. This game also features three of the top four names on the DraftKings MVP odds board – Brock Purdy (-200), Lamar Jackson (+450) and Christian McCaffrey (+1000). The Niners pair are poised to make a much greater impact on the Christmas Day finale than Lamar, who will be rushed by Nick Bosa and Chase Young while not having Keaton Mitchell as an outlet after the exciting rookie RB suffered a season-ending ACL tear … Niners are 10-1 this season when holding opponents under 130 rushing yards, and Mitchell might well have pushed Baltimore over that mark … Expect Purdy to team with Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel to scorch the Ravens corners, the weak link of an otherwise exceptional defence, while McCaffrey looks for his fourth 100-yard plus rushing game in his last five outings and do his usual damage catching passes out of the backfield.

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